In message <news:40E97EAF.53B0EDE@operamail.com> Larry Swain
<theswain.TakeThisOut@operamail.com> enriched us with:
>
> Troels Forchhammer wrote:
>>
<snip>
>> I don't think that there's any conclusive evidence. The
>> description of the messenger seems to fit a Nazgūl quite well,
>> but as has been noted it isn't very consistent with other
>> information about the Nazgūl; their importance and their role in
>> the overall strategy of Mordor.
<snip>
> No, nothing conclusive. But I don't think the objections
> against it being a Nazgul are very strong. Here's in favor of a
> Nazgul:
>
> 1) Description
> 2) that it is the Matter of the Ring
>
> Against this we have:
> 1) the Nazgul were not known to be abroad
> This objection does not seem strong to me.
Actually we know that they were specifically being held back because
Sauron feared that the wise would guess their mission.
"Yet this weakness they had for Sauron's present purpose: so
great was the terror that went with them (even invisible and
unclad) that their coming forth might soon be perceived and
their mission be guessed by the Wise."
(UT 3,IV 'The Hunt for the Ring' (i))
As others have noted sending a Nazgūl to Erebor when the Dwarves were
known to be speaking with the Elves would be extremely dangerous for
Sauron, who was not yet ready for open war.
A little earlier we hear that "Now Sauron learning of the capture of
Gollum by the chiefs of his enemies was in great haste and fear" and
"At length he resolved that no others would serve him in this case but
his mightiest servants, the Ringwraiths." This would, as I see it, mean
that the Ringwraiths were not set on this mission before Sauron learned
that Gollum was captured - something which "would then no doubt be late
in April" (3017) (UT again).
The strongest counter-argument against this is, IMO, that Erebor is
east of Anduin, and we know that some of the Ringwraiths occupied Dol
Guldur on that side of the river, and they didn't cross the river until
June 3018.
I am not aware that the visits to Dįin have been dated other than
'about a year ago' for the first visit (at the Council) which, as you
say, would make it about October 3017 - plenty of time to get to Erebor
even from Mordor if Sauron out the Ringwraiths on this search in late
April, but I wonder when the third visit (the messenger came back
twice) was - if it was to be a Nazgūl it would have to have been early
in the year (late May 3018 at the latest) as he would have to get back
to Minas Morgul in time to cross the Anduin at Osgiliath in late June.
Gimli said that "The third and last time, so he says, is soon to come,
before the ending of the year," which I find doesn't rhyme very well
with three visits between October and May.
<snip>
> 2) Also against this is that there is no indication that the
> messenger's face could not be seen.
That doesn't help either way, IMO.
> we don't know that someone like the Mouth of Sauron for example
> could create the same shuddering fear and loathing that the Nazgul
> can and do, and that the dwarves feel.
For some reason I had missed the Dwarves shuddering at the messenger's
hissing, thanks.
It would have helped if there had been a more clear indication that
this was similar to the terror exuded by the Nazgūl - howling dogs or
something
> The only beings in the LoTR that I can think of that can do that are
> the Nazgul.
Shelob?
> I can't think of any other objections....but undoubtedly that
> error is mine.
The strongest objections, in my mind, is the tactical situation (Sauron
not wanting to reveal his search and not being ready for open war), and
the timing of the last visit.
> All in all, I think it probable that the messenger to Dain is one of
> the Nazgul.
I'd definitely say so as well - my problem is that I can't say that I
think it is significantly /more/ probable that it being something else
--
Troels Forchhammer
Valid mail is <t.forch(a)email.dk>
A good bookshop is just a genteel Black Hole that knows how to read.
- (Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!)<!-- ~MESSAGE_AFTER~ -->
>> Stay informed about: Mesenger to Erebor - Mouth of Sauron or Nazgul?